BRINO or Hard Brexit: Resignations from Theresa May’s cabinet after draft agreement with the EU

The European Union and the United Kingdom tentatively agreed to a British exit from the EU (Brexit), but since the full EU and the Parliament of the UK have to approve it, the deal is in doubt. Notice also the following:

EU divorce deal in peril after two UK Cabinet ministers quit

November 15, 2018

LONDON (AP) — Two British Cabinet ministers, including Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab, resigned Thursday in opposition to the divorce deal struck by Prime Minister Theresa May with the EU — a major blow to her authority and her ability to get the deal through Parliament.

A defiant May insisted Brexit meant making “the right choices, not the easy ones” and urged lawmakers to support the deal “in the national interest.”

“The choice is clear,” May told the House of Commons. “We can choose to leave with no deal. We can risk no Brexit at all. Or we can choose to unite and support the best deal that can be negotiated — this deal.”

But the resignations, less than a day after the Cabinet collectively backed the draft divorce agreement, weakened May and emboldened her rivals within her Conservative Party.

Jacob Rees-Mogg, a leader of the party’s pro-Brexit wing, threatened to trigger a leadership challenge. He asked rhetorically in Parliament, “should I not write” to Graham Brady, who heads a committee governing Conservative leadership contests.

Under Conservative rules, a confidence vote in the leader is triggered if 15 percent of Conservative lawmakers — currently 48 — write a letter to Brady, head of the party’s so-called 1922 Committee of backbenchers.

Raab said in his resignation letter that “I cannot in good conscience support the terms proposed for our deal with the EU.”

“I cannot reconcile the terms of the proposed deal with the promises we made.”

Raab is the second Brexit Secretary that May has lost — David Davis, who like Raab backed Brexit in the U.K.’s June 2016 referendum on its membership of the EU, quit in July of this year.

Work and Pensions Secretary Esther McVey followed Raab out the door. She said in a letter that it is “no good trying to pretend to (voters) that this deal honors the result of the referendum when it is obvious to everyone that it doesn’t.”

The departures — several junior ministers have also quit — are a further sign that many supporters of Brexit won’t back May in a vote in Parliament on the deal. https://www.apnews.com/28b8db779e3d40a986c3efdaa0583484

15 November 2018

Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab has told BBC News he quit the cabinet over “fatal flaws” in the UK’s draft Brexit agreement with the EU.

And he said the UK should be ready to risk a no-deal Brexit in the face of EU “blackmail”.

Work and Pensions Secretary Esther McVey and junior Brexit minister Suella Braverman have also quit.

It comes hours after Theresa May announced that she had secured the backing of her cabinet for the deal. …

Dominic Raab … told the BBC’s political editor Laura Kuenssberg: “I’ve been fighting for a good Brexit deal but the terms proposed to the cabinet yesterday [Wednesday], I think, had two major and fatal flaws.

“The first is that the terms being offered by the EU threaten the integrity of the United Kingdom and the second is that they would lead to an indefinite if not permanent situation where we’re locked into a regime with no say over the rules being applied, with no exit mechanism.

“I think that would be damaging for the economy but devastating for public trust in our democracy.”

He said Theresa May needed a Brexit secretary who “will pursue the deal that she wants to put to the country with conviction”.

“I don’t feel I can do that in good conscience,” he added.

He said he held Mrs May in “high esteem” but said: “I do think we need to change course on Brexit”. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495

Various ones consider that the deal between Theresa May and the EU a ‘BRINO’–Brexit In Name Only.

Brexit: What is BRINO? Why are people calling May’s deal BRINO?

A Brexit deal had been agreed at a technical level, by both UK and EU officials, …

Many have slammed the new deal as BRINO – Brexit in Name Only – blasting the deal as a sell out to the EU.

Both the UK and EU want to schedule a summit of European leaders at the end of November to sign off the withdrawal deal. …

Brino is a version of leaving the European Union that would mean staying in the EU customs union and/or single market, with a very long or indefinite transition period.

It is also known as a soft Brexit.

Theresa May now faces the task of persuading the Cabinet to agree with her plan in order to progress and guarentee a summit at the end of November. …

Mr Rees-Mogg has today slammed Theresa May’s deal with the EU as a “betrayal”.

The leading Brexiteer politician pledged to vote against the deal, before bluntly adding: “I hope the Cabinet will block it and I hope Parliament will block it.”

ITV’s Carl Dinnen tweeted last night: “The DUP have not seen the detail on the new proposed Withdrawal Agreement but suggest that without significant change from what was outlined in last week’s letter it is not likely to be something they could support.” 11/14/18 https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1044888/Brexit-news-what-is-BRINO-what-does-BRINO-mean-Brexit-in-name-only

UPDATE: 0955 PST. Theresa May held a press conference:

November 15, 2018

As May takes questions from reporters, here are the highlights so far:

May hasn’t resigned. She believes “with every fiber of my being” that her deal is the best deal possible.

With her voice sounding a bit strained, May insisted that her Brexit deal delivers on what the British people voted for – it takes the UK out of the single market, out of the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice, out of the Common Fisheries Program, and eventually out of the customs union.

May says she “understands fully” why some people are not happy with the Cabinet’s decision to reluctantly back the deal. But she insisted that the deal delivers on the promise of Brexit, and that it will be impossible to make everybody happy.

She said she’s “sorry” that some of her cabinet minister have quit but that she has produced the best deal possible, and furthermore a deal that is in the “national interest” (May has repeated this phrase at seemingly every opportunity). She added that the British people expect the government to “get on with it” – hinting that constituents might punish ministers who resist the deal.

If her deal is rejected, nobody can predict what will happen next.

MPs have been debating on how best to deliver on the result of the referendum ever since it took place. But the British people want us to focus on a way to leave the EU in a way that’s best for the UK.

And if she faces a leadership challenge? Leadership requires making hard choices, and regardless of what happens, May intends to “see this through.”

Talking next steps: May will take the deal to the EU to finish negotiating some of the finer details before a final deal can be agreed on at the Nov. 25 meeting of EU ambassadors. Then, the final deal will be put to a vote in the Commons.

“There will not be a second referendum.”

“I don’t regret calling the vote in Parliament last year” (a disastrous vote that saw her conservative party lose its overall majority).

The press conference ended with a convoluted cricket analogy, initially posed by a reporter, which May fleshed out in more detail: In it, May compared herself with her cricket hero, Geoffrey Boycott. “Geoffrey Boycott stuck to it and he got the runs in the end.”

… Theresa May is holding a press conference to reveal where her government stands regarding the Brexit draft agreement after a day of chaos where seven members of her government resigned, including two senior members of May’s cabinet, and five junior ministers. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-15/mays-brexit-plan-jeopardy-2-cabinet-ministers-resign-pound-tumbles

Here are some details of the divorce deal tentatively agreed to by the EU and UK:

15 November 2018

The EU and UK have drafted a Brexit deal, which includes a financial settlement and a customs union backstop to prevent a hard border between Ireland and Northern Ireland.

After 18 months of negotiations, the United Kingdom and the European Union have published their 585-page draft withdrawal agreement. …

Here is an overview of the key takeaways from the drafted deal:

Citizenship rights

The rights of EU citizens in the UK and UK citizens in the EU will be protected

UK citizens who have lived in the EU continuously for five years by the end of the implementation period will have the right to reside permanently in that member state. The same rules apply for EU citizens living in the UK. …

Transition period

There will be a 21-month transition period ending December 31, 2020.

The transition period can be extended so long as an extension agreement is agreed to before July 1, 2020.

EU rules would continue to apply in the UK subject to the terms set out in the Brexit agreement.

After the transition period, a joint committee co-chaired by the EU and the UK would police the final withdrawal agreement, taking decisions by mutual consent and whose verdicts would be binding.

Financial settlement

The UK will participate in EU annual budgets in 2019 and 2020.

Even if the transition period is extended, the UK will cease taking part in EU budget talks after 2020.

The UK will pay its share of outstanding budget commitments and its share of liabilities as at the end of 2020.

The entire “financial settlement” is expected to be between 35 billion to 39 billion pounds (€40-€45 billion, $45-$51 billion).

Ireland and customs union ‘backstop’

Both parties will “use their best endeavors” to have a trade agreement in place six months before the end of the transition period, whether it is December 2020 or another agreed upon end date.

If appropriate customs arrangements are not agreed to, a backstop arrangement would kick in. A joint “single customs territory” between the EU and UK would apply from the end of the transition period “unless and until… a subsequent agreement becomes applicable.”

The “single customs territory” would cover all goods except fishery products.

Under the backstop arrangement, the UK must observe “level playing field” commitments on competition, state aid, taxes and employment and environment standards.

The backstop plan, designed to be temporary, would prevent the implementation of a hard border between EU member Ireland and Northern Ireland. …

What happens next

The EU has announced that a summit on November 25 has been scheduled to finalize the Brexit deal.

The agreement then has to pass through the UK parliament, the stage of the process where many expect the deal to fall apart. https://www.dw.com/en/the-draft-brexit-deal-what-you-need-to-know/a-46300767

The above is complicated and fraught with problems, even if it is ultimately approved by the UK and the EU.

Essentially, there remain two options for the British to leave the European Union.

The first is called a hard Brexit. That means no real deal between the EU and the UK. Under this scenario the UK hopes to trade with the EU under World Trade Organization standards, somehow resolve the Irish border issue, and keep Gibraltar more or less as is. Some consider, however, that there will be immediate trade and bureaucratic issues that will lead to massive shortages and other problems in the UK (see Brexit and the ‘Doomsday Brexit Plan’ and “‘No-deal’ Brexit advice published by UK government” and “The US under Donald Trump will not play the same role that it has in the past”).

The other option is a negotiated Brexit–which is some version of the current deal. It is fraught with many pitfalls, including the fact that all the EU members will need to agree, and Spain and Ireland have special reasons to nix such a last minute deal.

With or without a Brexit deal, things will get messy.

Yet, things for the UK will one day get much worse than messy.

Consider that in early 2017, BBC’s Kevin Connolly reported (see EU states that UK must pay a price for Brexit and be worse off than EU member states):

The 27 EU Remainer states are adamant that Britain will pay a price for leaving and will be worse off outside than the union than it is on the inside.

Now, notice proof of this from European Union leaders in 2018:

German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas, … “It is important that this guarantee must be valid regardless of how the EU and Britain will shape its new relationship.” … “It cannot be that Britain on its side just picks out all the positive points for itself,” the German minister added, leaving the impression that “leaving the European Union entails no disadvantage at all.” 08/29/18 https://www.dw.com/en/germany-and-eu-tell-uk-no-brexit-cherry-picking/a-45284510

The UK will come to “regret” the decision to leave the EU, European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker has warned.

Addressing the European Parliament, Mr Juncker was cheered by Eurosceptic MEPs as he noted the UK’s departure was due on 29 March, 2019.

In response he said the time would come “when you will regret your decision”. …

Mr Juncker repeated the EU side’s line that “cherry-picking is not going to be possible” in the future trade relationship between the UK and EU.

“I would rather have preferred Britain not to have decided to leave the European Union, but anyone who leaves the European Union has to know, frankly, what this means,” he said.

“If you decide to jettison, leave behind, the common agreements and rules, then you have to accept that things cannot remain as they are.” 03/13/18 http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-43384357

Leaders in the European Union have repeatedly gone on record to state that the UK must somehow suffer for its decision to leave the EU. The EU does not want other nations to follow the lead of the British to leave the EU.

But they now at least act like they want a deal.

However, even with that, the EU will long remember Brexit and will one day make the UK pay a massive price for it.

As far as Parliament goes, notice the following from the “Official account for the Office of Ranil Jayawardena, M.P. (Member of Parliament) for North East Hampshire of the UK:

pic.twitter.com/v3m1BhIMAN

— Team Ranil (@TeamRanil) November 15, 2018

And if the UK Parliament does NOT approve the current deal, the EU will have another reason to blame the UK for the mess.

Plus, the Irish border issue still remains important.

The proposed deal is not only messy, it never resolves the central issues, but hopes that given more time and negotiations this will work out. And it might, though not real well.

The UK wants full sovereignty over Northern Ireland and Gibraltar and the EU has different ideas.

Despite British hopes for its future, loss of territories will one day include Northern Ireland and Gibraltar. Notice a couple of prophetic warnings that are consistent with that:

24 ‘Do not defile yourselves with any of these things; for by all these the nations are defiled, which I am casting out before you. 25 For the land is defiled; therefore I visit the punishment of its iniquity upon it, and the land vomits out its inhabitants. 26 You shall therefore keep My statutes and My judgments, and shall not commit any of these abominations, either any of your own nation or any stranger who dwells among you 27 (for all these abominations the men of the land have done, who were before you, and thus the land is defiled), 28 lest the land vomit you out also when you defile it, as it vomited out the nations that were before you. (Leviticus 18:24-29)

23 ‘And if by these things you are not reformed by Me, but walk contrary to Me, 24 then I also will walk contrary to you, and I will punish you yet seven times for your sins. 25 And I will bring a sword against you that will execute the vengeance of the covenant; when you are gathered together within your cities I will send pestilence among you; and you shall be delivered into the hand of the enemy. (Leviticus 26:23-25)

58 “If you do not carefully observe all the words of this law that are written in this book, that you may fear this glorious and awesome name, THE LORD YOUR GOD, 59 then the Lord will bring upon you and your descendants extraordinary plagues — great and prolonged plagues — and serious and prolonged sicknesses. 60 Moreover He will bring back on you all the diseases of Egypt, of which you were afraid, and they shall cling to you. 61 Also every sickness and every plague, which is not written in this Book of the Law, will the Lord bring upon you until you are destroyed. 62 You shall be left few in number, whereas you were as the stars of heaven in multitude, because you would not obey the voice of the Lord your God. 63 And it shall be, that just as the Lord rejoiced over you to do you good and multiply you, so the Lord will rejoice over you to destroy you and bring you to nothing; and you shall be plucked from off the land which you go to possess. (Deuteronomy 28:58-63)

These territorial losses will include Northern Ireland and Gibraltar, as well as England, Wales, and Scotland. Yes, one day, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland will be no more.

For many years, the major sea gates of the world were possessed/controlled by the United States (Panama Canal and certain locations in the Pacific ocean) and the British Empire (Straits of Malacca, Singapore, Suez Canal, Bab el Mandeb, Strait of Hormuz, Simon’s Town/Cape of Good Hope, etc.). And while that is no longer the case for many of them, they seem to have been prophesied to be taken away for disobedience as well (cf. Deuteronomy 28)—and certainly the USA and UK have disobeyed the God of Abraham during the process of actually losing many of those gates. Thus, it seems logical to conclude that the remaining “sea gates” that the UK has such as Gibraltar and the Falkland Islands will be separated from UK control. Spain directly, or perhaps, through the EU (or some other European confederation) indirectly, will force out British control over Gibraltar.

And I expect that the Republic of Ireland (or at least an Irish leader) will one-day have control over Northern Ireland and probably other lands as well.

That does not mean that I expect that the UK will negotiate away Northern Ireland in the Brexit talks. It will likely take military action, though the Irish think that a vote will do it.

Notice what Article 3 of the Irish Constitution states:

It is the firm will of the Irish Nation, in harmony and friendship, to unite all the people who share the territory of the island of Ireland, in all the diversity of their identities and traditions, recognising that a united Ireland shall be brought about only by peaceful means with the consent of a majority of the people, democratically expressed, in both jurisdictions in the island. Until then, the laws enacted by the Parliament established by this Constitution shall have the like area and extent of application as the laws enacted by the Parliament that existed immediately before the coming into operation of this Constitution.

While the democratic way is one way, if that does not work, military pressure will accomplish this (cf. Daniel 8:24-25, 11:39; Isaiah 17:3).

Even IF the current divorce deal is agreed to by all parties, Europe is not going to ‘get over’ the Brexit and will one day take actions that most of those in the UK (as well as USA and Canada) will not consider possible (cf. Daniel 8:24-25, 11:39; see also USA in Prophecy: The Strongest Fortresses).

Some items of possibly related interest may include:

Brexit and the fate of Northern Ireland, Gibraltar, the UK, and the USA On April 29, 2017, 27 of the nations of the European Union agreed to certain guidelines for the negotiations with the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland which gave its notice to leave on March 29, 2017. These guidelines are contrary to what the UK wants. Does the EU intend the UK to pay a price for leaving the EU? What does Spain want? What does the Republic of Ireland want? Will Northern Ireland and Gibraltar eventually fall under European control? Will the UK and USA be conquered? What does the Bible teach? Dr. Thiel answer these questions and more in this video.
Forbes’ Brexit Monster is the Beast of Revelation Various ones have been properly convinced that there is a plan for a European superstate. Forbes’ writer Tom Worstall wrote that the Brexit vote was about the United Kingdom “not joining the monster of the European Union to come.” The Bible tells of a Beast monster that will arise in the end times in Europe. Dr. Thiel cites news reports, as well as the Old and New Testaments, to show that the monster many fear will arise in Europe, despite the vote by the British to exit the European Union. This is a video.
Will the UK Lose Gibraltar and the Falkland Islands? For many years, the major sea gates of the world were possessed/controlled by the United States (Panama Canal and certain locations in the Pacific ocean) and the British Empire (Straits of Malacca, Singapore, Suez Canal, Bab el Mandeb, Strait of Hormuz, Simon’s Town/Cape of Good Hope, Malta, etc.), and many are no longer under their control. Spain wants Gibraltar and Argentina wants the Falklands (also known as the Malvinas). UK Prime Minister David Cameron says the UK will defend the Falklands Gibraltar. Does the Bible give clues as to what will happen with those ‘sea gates’? Do promises made the Jacob’s mother Rebekah play a role? What about Deuteronomy 28? This is a video.
Post Brexit Prophecy On June 23, 2016, the voters of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland (UK) chose to leave the European Union. Now with this BRitish EXIT (Brexit) vote, what is prophesied to happen to the UK? Will the UK do well or be taken over and made slaves? Dr. Thiel explains from biblical prophecies what is ahead for the UK, Europe, and even the USA, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. This is a video.
Will the UK Lose Gibraltar and the Falkland Islands? Spain wants Gibraltar and Argentina wants the Falklands (also known as the Malvinas). Does the Bible give clues as to what will happen with these ‘sea gates’? A version of the article in the Spanish language would be ¿Perderá el Reino Unido a Gibraltar y las Islas Falkland (Malvinas)?
Anglo – America in Prophecy & the Lost Tribes of Israel Are the Americans, Canadians, English, Scottish, Welsh, Australians, Anglo-Saxon (non-Dutch) Southern Africans, and New Zealanders descendants of Joseph? Where are the lost ten-tribes of Israel? Who are the lost tribes of Israel? What will happen to Jerusalem and the Jews in Israel? Will God punish the U.S.A., Canada, United Kingdom, and other Anglo-Saxon nations? Why might God allow them to be punished first? Here is a link to the Spanish version of this article: Anglo-América & las Tribus Perdidas de Israel. Information is also in the YouTube sermons titled Where are the Ten Lost Tribes? Why does it matter? and British are the Covenant People. A short YouTube of prophetic interest may be Barack Obama and the State of the Apocalypse.
Will the Anglo-Saxon Nations be Divided and Have People Taken as Slaves? Will the lands of the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand be divided? What about Jerusalem? What does Bible prophecy teach? Are there non-biblical prophecies that support this idea? Who will divide those lands? Who will end up with the lands and the people? Here is a link to a video titled Will the USA and other Anglo-nations be Divided and Their People Made Slaves? Here is a related item in the Spanish language ¿Serán divididas las naciones anglosajonas?
British are the Covenant People What do ‘British’ and ‘Britain’ mean in Hebrew? Are the descendants of the Anglo-Saxons people of the covenant? Does the British royal family connect to the throne of David? What does the Bible teach? What does history show us? Is there any DNA evidence related to British-Israelism? When did Christianity make it to the British Isles? Could Jeremiah have made it to the British Isles? What type of Christians made it to the British Isles? Did the last King of England believe in British Israelism?
Catholic Prophecies: Do They Mirror, Highlight, or Contradict Biblical Prophecies? People of all faiths may be surprised to see what various Roman and Orthodox Catholic prophets have been predicting as many of their predictions will be looked to in the 21st century.
USA in Prophecy: The Strongest Fortresses Can you point to scriptures, like Daniel 11:39, that point to the USA in the 21st century? This article does. A related sermon is titled: Do these 7 prophesies point to the end of the USA?
Who is the King of the West? Why is there no Final End-Time King of the West in Bible Prophecy? Is the United States the King of the West? Here is a version in the Spanish language: ¿Quién es el Rey del Occidente? ¿Por qué no hay un Rey del Occidente en la profecía del tiempo del fin?
Who is the King of the North? Is there one? Do biblical and Roman Catholic prophecies for the Great Monarch point to the same leader? Should he be followed? Who will be the King of the North discussed in Daniel 11? Is a nuclear attack prophesied to happen to the English-speaking peoples of the United States, Great Britain, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand? When do the 1335 days, 1290 days, and 1260 days (the time, times, and half a time) of Daniel 12 begin? When does the Bible show that economic collapse will affect the United States? In the Spanish language check out ¿Quién es el Rey del Norte? Here is a link to a video titled: The Future King of the North.
Must the Ten Kings of Revelation 17:12 Rule over Ten Currently Existing Nations? Some claim that these passages refer to a gathering of 10 currently existing nations together, while one group teaches that this is referring to 11 nations getting together. Is that what Revelation 17:12-13 refers to? The ramifications of misunderstanding this are enormous. A related sermon is titled Ten Kings of Revelation and the Great Tribulation.
Europa, the Beast, and Revelation Where did Europe get its name? What might Europe have to do with the Book of Revelation? What about “the Beast”? Is an emerging European power “the daughter of Babylon”? What is ahead for Europe? Here is a link to a video titled: Can You Prove that the Beast to Come is European?