(Pixabay photo)
COGwriter
The financial markets have been shaking this entire month. The USA dollar has been impacted:
Dollar Hits 3-Year Low Against the Euro in Tariff Turmoil
As China hits back on tariffs once more, recession fears cast doubt on the safety of US assets.
April 11, 2025
The dollar continued its fall against major currencies on Friday as uncertainty about the US economic outlook in a trade war cast doubt on the currency’s safe-haven status. Early in the day, China responded to the latest 145% US tariff against it with a 125% tariff on US goods.
The US currency hit a 10-year low against the Swiss franc and a three-year low against the euro, dropping to 88 cents on the euro for the first time since the start of the war in Ukraine. That makes one euro worth $1.14.
Why The Dollar Is Weakening
“The main catalyst is an apparent repatriation trade from European investors, who are selling USD denominated assets and repatriating capital to the eurozone,” says Peter Kinsella, global head of forex strategy at Union Bancaire Privée (UBP). …
For Greg Meier, senior economist at Allianz Global Investors, rising tariffs pose a threat to US economic growth. “This time, the US economy may have a little more trouble avoiding tariff whiplash than in 2018, during Trump’s last trade war, as there is no longer the high fiscal stimulus that there was then.”
According to Meier, however, there may be a more alarming explanation for the recent weakness of the US currency: de-dollarization. “If US institutions have become structurally less reliable, global capital should naturally move elsewhere. This would perhaps erode the USD’s status as a global reserve currency,” he says. …
According to ING forex strategists, “The euro remains a key recipient of dollar outflows” and the massive EUR-USD rally is “almost entirely a function of the loss of confidence in the dollar, and not at all justified by underlying short-term rate dynamics.” https://www.morningstar.com/markets/dollar-hits-3-year-low-against-euro-tariff-turmoil
Safe-haven gold surpassed the key $3,200 mark for the first time on Friday, spurred by a weaker dollar and economic concerns due to an intensifying trade war.
Spot gold jumped over 1.3% to $3,216.27 an ounce after hitting a record high of $3,219.84 earlier in the session. Bullion is up over 5% so far this week. U.S. gold futures
climbed 1.7% to $3,230.60.
“Recession risks are mounting, bond yields are soaring, and the U.S. dollar continues to weaken – all factors reinforcing gold’s role as a crisis hedge and inflation shield,” said Alexander Zumpfe, a precious metals trader at Heraeus Metals Germany. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/11/gold-bolts-past-3200-on-dollar-slide-safe-haven-flows.html
What is happening now is on top of what has been going on for some time.
Which is?
The Europeans have long wanted the euro to push the US dollar’s reserve currency status aside and the BRICS+ alliance wants to try to stop using the US dollar for cross-border trade.
The BRICS+ alliance includes Russia, China, and various African and Asian nations.
Related to BRICs+ a related meeting is going on now in Iran:
BRICS+ Association of Cities, Municipalities held in Tehran
11 April 2025
With about a third of the global GDP and 45 percent of the world’s population, BRICS countries have cooperated in various economic and political forums. A recent addition to these forums is the BRICS+ Association of Cities and Municipalities. https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2025/04/11/745935/BRICS-Association-Cities-Municipalities
Notice the following:
De-Dollarization & BRICS: A New Global Power Shift?
In recent years, the term “de-dollarisation” or trade in non-dollar currencies instead of the US Dollar has begun to draw attention in discussions on international affairs.
In recent years, the term “de-dollarisation” or trade in non-dollar currencies instead of the US Dollar has begun to draw attention in discussions on international affairs. This has increased even more so after US President Donald Trump’s threats to countries pursuing ‘de-dollarisation’. Apart from warning countries against “de-dollarisation”, Trump has also repeated warned BRICS member states against going ahead with a common currency.
In February 2025, after taking over as US President, Trump commented:
“BRICS states were trying to destroy our dollar. They wanted to create a new currency. So when I came in, the first thing I said was any BRICS state that even mentions the destruction of the dollar will be charged a 150% tariff, and we don’t want your goods and the BRICS states just broke up,”
It is important to understand the nuances pertaining to de-dollarisation as well as the BRICS grouping
The approach of Russia and China vis-à-vis de-dollarisation
Russia and China have been pushing for an alternative economic architecture. After the imposition of sanctions against Russia — in the aftermath of the Russia-Ukraine war – Russia and several other countries have repeatedly spoken against the ‘weaponisation’ of the US dollar. While speaking at the BRICS Summit, held at Kazan (Russia) Russian President Vladimir Putin said:
“The dollar is being used as a weapon. We really see that this is so. I think that this is a big mistake by those who do this”.
Both countries, along with nations like Iran, have also pitched for an alternative BRICS currency. There is a strong geo-political dimension in the approach of both Moscow and Beijing towards “de-dollarisation” as well as a potential “BRICS” currency. … countries like India, UAE and Saudi Arabia and ASEAN countries — like Malaysia — and several other nations which share good ties with US have resorted to non-dollar trade, or are exploring the possibilities of doing so, to avert the sanctions imposed on Russia. Significantly, trade in commodities, especially oil, in Non-Dollar currencies has risen in recent years. …
In conclusion, while the BRICS currency may seem a stretch, de-dollarisation is here to stay — irrespective of Trump’s threats. https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2025/04/09/de-dollarization-brics-a-new-global-power-shift/
Related to the US dollar and BRICS, the Continuing Church of God (CCOG) put together the following video on our Bible News Prophecy YouTube channel:
Here is a link to our video: BRICS Push Aside USA Dollar.
Now, notice something last Fall from Mises Wire:
Can America Survive Global De-Dollarization?
“Money does not grow on trees” is an old expression of wisdom that seems to have been disregarded by 21st century American policymakers. People all over the world and throughout time base their decisions primarily through lived experience. The US dollar became the world’s reserve currency in the aftermath of World War II, which is now almost eighty years ago. There is virtually no one in power at the American government or in leading institutions who has a living memory from before that period.
In fact, the elite status of US currency has been taken for granted and is being eroded by policies that create inflation as well as sanctions that exclude other nations from participating in the global economy that America dominates through its money. There is the danger that the constant erosion could precipitate an avalanche that could cause the dollar to lose its status.
This would shock the United States economy with massive price increases on consumer goods while crippling the local, state, and federal governments because deficit spending will no longer be possible if no one buys the debt. In this scenario, states like California and New York might find themselves turning to the federal government for some type of bailout while smaller states with more balanced budgets might find themselves wondering why they should be paying the bill for someone else’s reckless spending that they had no part of, which in turn could create a crisis of unity among the United States of America. …
And, if the dollar stops being accepted by producers in other nations for payment, then the trade deficit will become a shortage of goods manufactured abroad. The decrease in supply will lead to rising prices.
The ability to create money out of thin air will lose its magic as that money becomes near worthless as a form of payment. Everyone in America will feel the pain and, when people are struggling, they are less able and willing to help others, especially when they blame the out-of-control spending of some for the predicament that everyone is in. The danger to the United States of America is very real but it is also fixable, although it won’t be easy and it will require leaders that are not afraid to make difficult decisions instead of kicking them down the road. 10/04/24 https://mises.org/mises-wire/can-america-survive-global-de-dollarization
No, the US cannot survive this without massive change which it does not appear to be able to do. Yes, the danger to the US is real. And while in theory it is still fixable, that will not happen.
Last Fall I wrote:
Neither a possible Trump-Vance or Harris-Walz Administration has proposed anything that would truly stop de-dollarization. Actually threats against nations involved, by Donald Trump, as well as policies suggested by Kamala Harris, will tend to increase the speed of de-dollarization. (Thiel B. MW: Can America Survive Global De-Dollarization? COGwriter: No! COGwriter, October 4, 2024)
Well, that is happening. There will be many unintended consequences of Donald Trump’s statements and policies.
Notice something from my latest book available at Amazon Kindle: Unintended Consequences and Donald Trump’s Presidency: Is Donald Trump Fulfilling Biblical, Islamic, Greco-Roman Catholic, Buddhist, and other America-Related Prophecies? as well as Amazon print Unintended Consequences and Donald Trump’s Presidency: Is Donald Trump Fulfilling Biblical, Islamic, Greco-Roman Catholic, Buddhist, and other America-Related Prophecies?:
The USA dollar will ultimately crash and be worthless. That “pride” of American power will be broken (cf. Leviticus 26:19). …
European leaders have been working for years to establish a new reserve currency for the world, partially with the intent to remove the USA dollar from its current position as a reserve currency.
Those in Russia, Iran and some of the Arab lands, along with nations such as Brazil and India have discussed plans for the removal of the dominance of the USA dollar in global trade as well. Many are now working on that, along with China, in what is called the BRICS alliance.[i] While Donald Trump did not cause all of this, an unintended consequence of the use of sanctions in the Trump-Pence Administration (as well as by the Biden-Harris Administration) is that more nations are looking to bypass the dollar. …
When the U.S. dollar is no longer the world’s reserve currency, this will hurt the USA financially. Increasing debt, including “quantitative easing,” is a form of dishonest profits that is not something that God approves of and will punish the USA for (cf. Ezekiel 22:13-16).
Inflation will eventually hit the USA extremely hard. As the world becomes less attached to the American dollar, many financial jobs and opportunities will be in places other than the USA. Eventually, but not yet, the USA dollar will become worthless.
Will it always be straight downhill for the economy of the USA?
No.
There are some reasons to have some temporary optimism. Proposed reductions in government regulations are expected to boost the economy. In addition, technological and other developments may temporarily support the U.S. economy—as can reductions of regulatory burdens.
Some policies of Donald Trump’s may help. …
For years, I have written that because of improvements in various aspects of energy and other technology (some of which Donald Trump seems to support), the USA may experience even more of an energy export boom, such as with oil and natural gas, etc. that may prolong its days of economic prosperity.[ii] But prolonging is likely all that is possible as its destruction is prophesied (Daniel 11:39; Habakkuk 2:6-8). …
Since many are now questioning the role of the USA dollar as the world’s reserve currency, more are looking into other currencies as well as gold.
Gold will set records in U.S. dollar terms. …
When the U.S. dollar totally collapses people all around the world will consider that even if the euro (or something similar) is strong, having a more gold-backed currency would be safer.
The collapse of the USA dollar will shake a lot of the world’s confidence in non-gold backed currencies. The Europeans do not have to have a perfect currency, only one that is perceived to be in better shape than the USA dollar or various other currencies.
Having the European power acquiring more gold to back the Euro or possibly another future European currency (that might potentially replace the Euro or even a basket of currencies) may greatly increase European credibility, prosperity, and influence around the globe, even if the backing is only implied.
The debt accumulation policies of the Obama-Biden and the Trump-Pence Administrations, which were a massive acceleration of the previous policies of the Bush Administration, have to a large degree been continued and expanded by the Biden-Harris Administration.
The increases in America’s debt are heading the world into the time when something other than the U.S. dollar will be valued as its reserve currency.
A Trump-Vance Administration would need to make massive changes to possibly prevent this.
The USA and its dollar are at serious risk. …
Unintended Consequences
While Donald Trump seems to believe that his policies are best for the United States, notice some unintended consequences of them: …
- Pushing tariffs and sanctions on other countries is contributing to the rise of the final time of the Gentiles (Luke 21:24; Ezekiel 7:24).
- Pushing tariffs and other policies that foreign nations do not like is contributing to other nations looking to bypass the USA dollar, as well as trade more with each other and less with the USA. This will further push various globalist’s moves forward without the USA. This is also helping set the stage for the coming European Babylonian Beast to dominate international trade.
[i] BRICS Expansion, the G20, and the Future of World Order. Carnegie Endowment for the International Peace, October 9, 2024
[ii] Thiel B. Barack Obama, Prophecy, and the Destruction of the United States. Nazarene Books, 2013, pp. 67-48
Since the above was published, gold has set records in US dollar terms multiple times. And more countries are looking seriously about bypassing the US dollar because of tariffs.
The US dollar is going away as the world’s premier currency and the damage to the US economy is beyond what most of its politicians realize.
That said, it is not just Russia, China, and parts of Africa and Asia that are pushing towards de-dollarization. They are also in the process of increasing their gold reserves, partially at the expense of decreasing their US dollar reserves.
Notice something several years back related to Europe:
De-Dollarization: Europe Joins the Party
The ongoing “World War of Currencies”, as the German journalist Daniel D. Eckert called it, the battle for the future of the world monetary system is not a shallow action film but more like Game of Thrones – a complex series with hundreds of actors and locations, stretching over decades and demanding full concentration from the viewer.
The bottom line is that what has been true for decades still applies. The US dollar continues to enjoy the confidence of markets, governments, and central banks. But faith in the US dollar weakens a little every year. Europe, China, Russia and many small countries set new initiatives every year to make themselves independent. And gold, too, plays a major role in this slow departure from the US dollar. But for the world financial system, none of their currencies offer a viable, fully-fledged alternative to the US dollar yet, which is why any news of the death of the US dollar is definitely exaggerated.
Europe’s Small Uprising
Since the Greek crisis of 2012, the American media have often given the impression that the EU and the euro have already broken up or are about to break up. This is not the case. Twenty years after its creation in 1999, the euro area is larger than ever. Of course, nothing is perfect in the EU. The debt problems of the southern states have hardly improved. The structure of the euro zone itself is also often criticized and described as being in need of renovation. …
The euro currently accounts for around 20% of global currency reserves. This amount exceeds the euro zone’s share of global economic output. Around 36% of global payments are already made in the euro. The US dollar is at 40%. The EU imports oil and gas worth around EUR 300bn annually. But 80% of these are still invoiced in US dollars today. In view of the fact that only 2% of energy imports come from the USA, Juncker commented: “It is also absurd that European companies buy European planes in dollars instead of euros.” Despite all the economic, political and structural problems within the euro area, this is a statement full of self-confidence. …
You also have to ask yourself why the central banks are such hard-working gold buyers.
The answer is de-dollarization. Gold, which many central banks now include in their balance sheets at market value, offers an alternative. …
Only the next major crisis will show whether the euro, the yuan, or gold will really be able to do any harm to the leading currency status of the US dollar – or whether the US dollar still has enough life left in it to prevail. 09/13/19 https://mises.org/wire/de-dollarization-europe-joins-party
Yes, it will take time for the US dollar to be dethroned. Yes, gold and the Europeans will be involved. Many seem to forget that one of the purposes of the euro was to reduce the need to trade in US dollars in Europe. That has resulted in relatively little cross-border trade in US dollars across Europe.
Do not think that Europe will not one day support the complete toppling of the US dollar as well as the US itself (cf. Daniel 11:39).
The Hebrew prophet Habakkuk was told by God to write the following:
3 For the vision is yet for an appointed time; But at the end it will speak, and it will not lie. Though it tarries, wait for it; Because it will surely come, It will not tarry…5 Indeed, because he transgresses by wine, He is a proud man … 6 “Will not all these take up a proverb against him, And a taunting riddle against him, and say, ‘Woe to him who increases What is not his–how long? And to him who loads himself with many pledges’? 7 Will not your creditors rise up suddenly? Will they not awaken who oppress you? And you will become their booty. 8 Because you have plundered many nations, All the remnant of the people shall plunder you. Because of men’s blood And the violence of the land and the city, And of all who dwell in it. (Habakkuk 2:3,5,6-8).
The time will come when world will wake up to the fact that the USA cannot possibly pay back its debts and will take successful military actions against the USA (cf. Daniel 11:39).
I have long believed that Europe will one day have some type of gold-backing for its currency (and published about that back in 2009).
After the US dollar is gone, the Bible shows that Europe will dominate international trade and finance, and this will involve gold (cf. Daniel 11:37-43; Revelation 18). It will also make deals with the BRICS+ nations.
The Bible shows that the European King of the North will end up with gold. Daniel 11:43:
43 He shall have power over the treasures of gold and silver, and over all the precious things of Egypt; also the Libyans and Ethiopians shall follow at his heels.
The “he” is the King of the North. This is the same King of the North that valued gold and silver in Daniel 11:38. Although other scriptures also show that gold and silver will have value around this time (like Revelation 18; 9:20), the Bible is clear that gold and silver will be worthless for a short time before Jesus returns, e.g. Ezekiel 7:19.
The fact that the King of the North himself will accumulate gold (and some silver) is consistent with several Byzantine (“Greek” Orthodox) prophecies of their expected Great Monarch:
Emperor Leo the Philosopher (died 912): You will amass gold…And you will be the leader of the surrounding nations…
Addressed to Emperor Manuel II Palaeogous (died 1425): The Emperor…will discover gold and silver…
Saint Andrew Fool-for-Christ (c. 4th century): God will reveal to this king all the gold wherever it happen to lay concealed from view…
One side note is, that in Egypt, major gold deposits were found in 2006. This is relevant as it does prove that Egypt now has enough gold that a foreign power could be interested in taking/using it as Bible prophecy teaches.
Since many are now questioning the role of the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency, more are looking into other currencies as well as gold.
Gold will set records in US dollar terms.
Now, I have made the previous statement many times, and gold has set records in US dollar terms many times since I started writing that statement.
It has been reported by others that many nations around the world are already in the process of accumulating gold to one day overthrow the US dollar—and that the “U.S. is unprepared for this strategic alternative to dollar dominance.”
When the US dollar totally collapses people all around the world will consider that even if the euro (or something similar) is strong, having a more gold-backed currency would be safer.
The collapse of the US dollar will shake a lot of the world’s confidence in non-gold backed currencies.
The Europeans do not have to have a perfect currency, only one that is perceived to be in better shape than the US dollar.
Having the European power acquiring more gold to back the Euro or possibly another future European currency (that might potentially replace the Euro or even a basket of currencies) may greatly increase European credibility, prosperity, and influence around the globe, even if the backing is only implied.
Notice also the following two headlines:
U.S. Budget Deficit Widens to $1.3 Trillion as Interest on Public Debt Hits Record
April 10, 2025
https://www.barrons.com/articles/u-s-budget-deficit-first-half-fiscal-2025-c1468ba5
House Passes Plan to Advance Trump Cuts Debt Limit Boost
April 10, 2025
Official US debt is continuing to rise.
The debt accumulation policies of the US government are going to be a factor in the dollar’s and the USA’s decline.
The increases in America’s debt are heading the world into the time when something other than the US dollar will be valued as its reserve currency.
The end of US dollar dominance is coming.
Some items of possibly related interest may include:
Lost Tribes and Prophecies: What will happen to Australia, the British Isles, Canada, Europe, New Zealand and the United States of America? Where did those people come from? Can you totally rely on DNA? What about other peoples? Do you really know what will happen to Europe and the English-speaking peoples? What about Africa, Asia, South America, and the Islands? This free online book provides scriptural, scientific, historical references, and commentary to address those matters. Here are links to related sermons: Lost tribes, the Bible, and DNA; Lost tribes, prophecies, and identifications; 11 Tribes, 144,000, and Multitudes; Israel, Jeremiah, Tea Tephi, and British Royalty; Gentile European Beast; Royal Succession, Samaria, and Prophecies; Asia, Islands, Latin America, Africa, and Armageddon; When Will the End of the Age Come?; Rise of the Prophesied King of the North; Christian Persecution from the Beast; WWIII and the Coming New World Order; and Woes, WWIV, and the Good News of the Kingdom of God.
Spiritual Samaritans: Old and New Who were the Samaritans? Do the represent true Christianity or something else? Here is a link to a related sermon: USA in Prophecy: Samaria.
The End of US Dollar Dominance Is the USA losing its economic status? What about the petro-gold-yuan? A related video is also available: US Dollar being challenged by Gold-Petro-Yuan.
The Plain Truth About Gold in Prophecy. How Should a Christian View Gold? What do economists and the Bible teach about gold? Gold and silver may drop in value. Inflation/deflation? What do Christians need to know about gold and silver? Two videos of related interest may be: Germany, Gold, and the US Dollar and Silver, Science, and Scripture.
Europa, the Beast, and Revelation Where did Europe get its name? What might Europe have to do with the Book of Revelation? What about “the Beast”? Is an emerging European power “the daughter of Babylon”? What is ahead for Europe? Here is are links to related videos: European history and the Bible, Europe In Prophecy, The End of European Babylon, and Can You Prove that the Beast to Come is European?
